Ecology and Environmental Sciences ›› 2026, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (3): 488-498.DOI: 10.16258/j.cnki.1674-5906.2026.03.015
• Research Article [Environmental Science] • Previous Articles
SI Qin1(
), WU Youde3, WANG Tao2,3,4,*(
), CUI Hongcha5, PAN Ying3, LIU Yusi3
Received:2025-06-08
Revised:2025-11-19
Accepted:2025-12-26
Online:2026-03-18
Published:2026-03-13
斯琴1(
), 武友德3, 王涛2,3,4,*(
), 崔红茶5, 潘莹3, 刘宇斯3
通讯作者:
*E-mail: 作者简介:斯琴(1978年生),女,副教授,硕士,主要研究方向为生态系统服务。E-mail: 704195727@qq.com
基金资助:CLC Number:
SI Qin, WU Youde, WANG Tao, CUI Hongcha, PAN Ying, LIU Yusi. The Allometric Relationship between Urbanization and Ecosystem Services in Yunnan Province and Its Interaction Mechanism[J]. Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2026, 35(3): 488-498.
斯琴, 武友德, 王涛, 崔红茶, 潘莹, 刘宇斯. 云南省城镇化与生态系统服务异速关系及互动机制[J]. 生态环境学报, 2026, 35(3): 488-498.
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URL: https://www.jeesci.com/EN/10.16258/j.cnki.1674-5906.2026.03.015
| 一级指标 | 二级指标(权重) | 三级指标 | 权重 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 综合城镇化 | 人口城镇化(0.25) | 城镇人口比例/% | 0.561 |
| 非农业人口比例/% | 0.439 | ||
| 经济城镇化(0.25) | 人均GDP/元 | 0.796 | |
| 二三产业产值占GDP比例/% | 0.204 | ||
| 社会城镇化(0.25) | 人均社会消费品零售总额/元 | 0.866 | |
| 城镇居民人均可支配收入/元 | 0.134 | ||
| 土地城镇化(0.25) | 人均道路铺设面积/m2 | 0.267 | |
| 建成区面积占城镇 土地总面积比例/% | 0.733 |
Table1 Urbanization level index system of Yunnan Province
| 一级指标 | 二级指标(权重) | 三级指标 | 权重 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 综合城镇化 | 人口城镇化(0.25) | 城镇人口比例/% | 0.561 |
| 非农业人口比例/% | 0.439 | ||
| 经济城镇化(0.25) | 人均GDP/元 | 0.796 | |
| 二三产业产值占GDP比例/% | 0.204 | ||
| 社会城镇化(0.25) | 人均社会消费品零售总额/元 | 0.866 | |
| 城镇居民人均可支配收入/元 | 0.134 | ||
| 土地城镇化(0.25) | 人均道路铺设面积/m2 | 0.267 | |
| 建成区面积占城镇 土地总面积比例/% | 0.733 |
| 异速增长类型 | 异速级别 | 划分标准 | 异速关系类型 | 异速关系特征 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 正异速增长 | 正异速三级 | 3≤b | 生态系统服务价值扩张强型 | 生态系统服务价值的增长速度明显快于城镇化增长速度 |
| 正异速二级 | 1≤b<3 | 生态系统服务价值扩张弱型 | 生态系统服务价值的增长速度快于城镇化相对增长速度 | |
| 正异速一级 | 0.85≤b<1 | 城镇化与生态系统服务价值基本协调型 | 生态系统服务价值的增长速度稍快于城镇化相对增长速度 | |
| 负异速增长 | 负异速一级 | 0.5≤b<0.85 | 城镇化扩张弱型 | 生态系统服务价值的增长速度稍慢于城镇化相对增长速度 |
| 负异速二级 | 0≤b<0.5 | 城镇化扩张强型 | 生态系统服务价值增长速度慢于城镇化相对增长速度 | |
| 负异速三级 | b<0 | 城镇化规模有所收缩型 | 生态系统服务价值和城镇化其中一个减少或同时减少 |
Table 2 Allometric relationship between urbanization and ecosystem services in Yunnan Province
| 异速增长类型 | 异速级别 | 划分标准 | 异速关系类型 | 异速关系特征 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 正异速增长 | 正异速三级 | 3≤b | 生态系统服务价值扩张强型 | 生态系统服务价值的增长速度明显快于城镇化增长速度 |
| 正异速二级 | 1≤b<3 | 生态系统服务价值扩张弱型 | 生态系统服务价值的增长速度快于城镇化相对增长速度 | |
| 正异速一级 | 0.85≤b<1 | 城镇化与生态系统服务价值基本协调型 | 生态系统服务价值的增长速度稍快于城镇化相对增长速度 | |
| 负异速增长 | 负异速一级 | 0.5≤b<0.85 | 城镇化扩张弱型 | 生态系统服务价值的增长速度稍慢于城镇化相对增长速度 |
| 负异速二级 | 0≤b<0.5 | 城镇化扩张强型 | 生态系统服务价值增长速度慢于城镇化相对增长速度 | |
| 负异速三级 | b<0 | 城镇化规模有所收缩型 | 生态系统服务价值和城镇化其中一个减少或同时减少 |
Figure 3 Spatiotemporal changes in the coupling and coordination of urbanization with supply services, regulation services, support services, and cultural services in Yunnan Province
| 变量 | 供给服务 | 调节服务 | 支持服务 | 文化服务 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000年 | 2010年 | 2020年 | 2000年 | 2010年 | 2020年 | 2000年 | 2010年 | 2020年 | 2000年 | 2010年 | 2020年 | ||||
| 城镇化水平 | −0.391*** (0.031) | −0.463*** (0.027) | −0.402*** (0.036) | −0.514*** (0.062) | −0.467*** (0.055) | −0.511*** (0.039) | −0.459*** (0.066) | −0.502*** (0.054) | −0.496*** (0.047) | −0.661*** (0.041) | −0.624*** (0.039) | −0.591*** (0.044) | |||
| 城镇化水平平方项 | 0.729*** (0.217) | 0.401*** (0.097) | 0.532*** (0.128) | 0.836*** (0.114) | 0.756*** (0.195) | 0.533*** (0.151) | 0.698*** (0.136) | 0.701*** (0.128) | 0.569*** (0.166) | 0.667*** (0.121) | 0.703*** (0.193) | 0.688*** (0.124) | |||
| 常数 | −0.013*** (0.008) | −0.006*** (0.003) | −0.019*** (0.010) | −0.125*** (0.011) | −0.088*** (0.008) | −0.009*** (0.001) | −0.015*** (0.005) | −0.005*** (0.002) | −0.066*** (0.012) | −0.006*** (0.002) | −0.003 (0.001) | −0.009 (0.004) | |||
| 空间滞后项 | −1.105*** (0.003) | −0.982*** (0.004) | −1.413*** (0.003) | −0.792*** (0.004) | −0.895*** (0.010) | −1.088*** (0.013) | −0.736*** (0.005) | −0.805*** (0.004) | −.933*** (0.002) | −0.623*** (0.011) | −0.771 (0.011) | −0.801 (0.009) | |||
| 空间误差项 | −0.517*** (0.022) | −0.436*** (0.006) | −0.472*** (0.011) | −0.635*** (0.21) | −0.368*** (0.17) | −0.559*** (0.13) | −0.552*** (0.021) | −0.495*** (0.014) | −0.609*** (0.018) | −0.774*** (0.011) | −0.713 (0.009) | −0.665 (0.016) | |||
| 拟合指标 | |||||||||||||||
| 对数似然值 | 13681.1 | 13625.1 | 13026.3 | 19645.3 | 18623.1 | 19010.2 | 14963.2 | 149083.6 | 15032.1 | 18631.7 | 18669.3 | 18902.5 | |||
| 赤池准则(AIC) | −26736.6 | −26456.3 | −26013.7 | −32561.3 | −32869.3 | −32001.6 | −29635.3 | −29550.2 | −29067.5 | −30256.3 | −31052.9 | −31126.7 | |||
| 贝叶斯信息准则(BIC) | −26776.2 | −26435.9 | −26000.2 | −32509.4 | −32074.6 | −31986.6 | −29053.2 | −29003.6 | −29157.8 | −29631.4 | −31265.7 | −30256.1 | |||
| 系数 | 0.801 | 0.737 | 0.781 | 0.772 | 0.694 | 0.803 | 0.698 | 0.803 | 0.761 | 0.802 | 0.769 | 0.771 | |||
| 样本量 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | |||
Table 3 The SEMLD model returns results
| 变量 | 供给服务 | 调节服务 | 支持服务 | 文化服务 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000年 | 2010年 | 2020年 | 2000年 | 2010年 | 2020年 | 2000年 | 2010年 | 2020年 | 2000年 | 2010年 | 2020年 | ||||
| 城镇化水平 | −0.391*** (0.031) | −0.463*** (0.027) | −0.402*** (0.036) | −0.514*** (0.062) | −0.467*** (0.055) | −0.511*** (0.039) | −0.459*** (0.066) | −0.502*** (0.054) | −0.496*** (0.047) | −0.661*** (0.041) | −0.624*** (0.039) | −0.591*** (0.044) | |||
| 城镇化水平平方项 | 0.729*** (0.217) | 0.401*** (0.097) | 0.532*** (0.128) | 0.836*** (0.114) | 0.756*** (0.195) | 0.533*** (0.151) | 0.698*** (0.136) | 0.701*** (0.128) | 0.569*** (0.166) | 0.667*** (0.121) | 0.703*** (0.193) | 0.688*** (0.124) | |||
| 常数 | −0.013*** (0.008) | −0.006*** (0.003) | −0.019*** (0.010) | −0.125*** (0.011) | −0.088*** (0.008) | −0.009*** (0.001) | −0.015*** (0.005) | −0.005*** (0.002) | −0.066*** (0.012) | −0.006*** (0.002) | −0.003 (0.001) | −0.009 (0.004) | |||
| 空间滞后项 | −1.105*** (0.003) | −0.982*** (0.004) | −1.413*** (0.003) | −0.792*** (0.004) | −0.895*** (0.010) | −1.088*** (0.013) | −0.736*** (0.005) | −0.805*** (0.004) | −.933*** (0.002) | −0.623*** (0.011) | −0.771 (0.011) | −0.801 (0.009) | |||
| 空间误差项 | −0.517*** (0.022) | −0.436*** (0.006) | −0.472*** (0.011) | −0.635*** (0.21) | −0.368*** (0.17) | −0.559*** (0.13) | −0.552*** (0.021) | −0.495*** (0.014) | −0.609*** (0.018) | −0.774*** (0.011) | −0.713 (0.009) | −0.665 (0.016) | |||
| 拟合指标 | |||||||||||||||
| 对数似然值 | 13681.1 | 13625.1 | 13026.3 | 19645.3 | 18623.1 | 19010.2 | 14963.2 | 149083.6 | 15032.1 | 18631.7 | 18669.3 | 18902.5 | |||
| 赤池准则(AIC) | −26736.6 | −26456.3 | −26013.7 | −32561.3 | −32869.3 | −32001.6 | −29635.3 | −29550.2 | −29067.5 | −30256.3 | −31052.9 | −31126.7 | |||
| 贝叶斯信息准则(BIC) | −26776.2 | −26435.9 | −26000.2 | −32509.4 | −32074.6 | −31986.6 | −29053.2 | −29003.6 | −29157.8 | −29631.4 | −31265.7 | −30256.1 | |||
| 系数 | 0.801 | 0.737 | 0.781 | 0.772 | 0.694 | 0.803 | 0.698 | 0.803 | 0.761 | 0.802 | 0.769 | 0.771 | |||
| 样本量 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | 15764 | |||
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