Ecology and Environmental Sciences ›› 2026, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (1): 29-39.DOI: 10.16258/j.cnki.1674-5906.2026.01.003
• Research Article [Ecology] • Previous Articles Next Articles
CHENG Hu1,2(
), LI Yi2, CHEN Zimo2, HUANG Yanqiu1, MIN Ju3, SHI Weiming3, ZHANG Longjiang1, JI Rongting1,*(
)
Received:2025-04-25
Revised:2025-10-22
Accepted:2025-10-30
Online:2026-01-18
Published:2026-01-05
程虎1,2(
), 李逸2, 陈子墨2, 黄言秋1, 闵炬3, 施卫明3, 张龙江1, 纪荣婷1,*(
)
通讯作者:
* E-mail: 作者简介:程虎(1994年生),男,副教授,博士,主要研究方向为生态文明建设与环境生态学。E-mail: hucheng@njfu.edu.cn
基金资助:CLC Number:
CHENG Hu, LI Yi, CHEN Zimo, HUANG Yanqiu, MIN Ju, SHI Weiming, ZHANG Longjiang, JI Rongting. Coordination Degree between New Urbanization and the Construction of “Beautiful China”: A Case Study of Jiangsu Province[J]. Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2026, 35(1): 29-39.
程虎, 李逸, 陈子墨, 黄言秋, 闵炬, 施卫明, 张龙江, 纪荣婷. 新型城镇化与美丽中国建设协调度研究——以江苏省为例[J]. 生态环境学报, 2026, 35(1): 29-39.
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URL: https://www.jeesci.com/EN/10.16258/j.cnki.1674-5906.2026.01.003
| 系统层 | 准则层 | 权重 | 指标层 | 指标序号 | 指标属性 | 权重 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 新型城镇化综合水平A | 经济城镇化A1 | 0.258 | 人均GDP/元 | A11 | + | 0.051 |
| 二三产业产值占GDP比重/% | A12 | + | 0.054 | |||
| 人均公共预算支出/元 | A13 | + | 0.052 | |||
| 人均社会消费品零售总额/元 | A14 | + | 0.046 | |||
| 居民可支配收入/元 | A15 | + | 0.055 | |||
| 人口城镇化A2 | 0.145 | 城镇化率/% | A21 | + | 0.050 | |
| 城镇人口密度/(人·km-2) | A22 | − | 0.046 | |||
| 二三产业就业人口比重/% | A23 | + | 0.049 | |||
| 社会城镇化A3 | 0.338 | 每万人卫生技术人员数/人 | A31 | + | 0.049 | |
| 每万人中学生人数/人 | A32 | + | 0.073 | |||
| 移动电话普及率/(部∙百人-1) | A33 | + | 0.080 | |||
| 每万人公路客运量/人 | A34 | + | 0.040 | |||
| 每万人拥有汽车数/辆 | A35 | + | 0.030 | |||
| 人均社会保障与就业支出/亿元 | A36 | + | 0.066 | |||
| 空间城镇化A4 | 0.259 | 建成区面积占比/% | A41 | + | 0.054 | |
| 人均城市道路面积/(m2·人-1) | A42 | + | 0.030 | |||
| 地均GDP/(万元·km-2) | A43 | + | 0.055 | |||
| 建成区经济密度/(亿元·km-2) | A44 | + | 0.053 | |||
| 每万人公路里程/(km∙万人-1) | A45 | + | 0.067 | |||
| 美丽中国建设综合水平B | 空气清新B1 | 0.109 | 地级及以上城市细颗粒物(PM2.5)质量浓度/(μg∙m−3) | B11 | − | 0.040 |
| 地级及以上城市可吸入颗粒物(PM10)质量浓度/(μg∙m−3) | B12 | − | 0.036 | |||
| 地级及以上城市空气质量优良天数比例/% | B13 | + | 0.033 | |||
| 水体洁净B2 | 0.103 | 地表水水质优良(达到或好于III类)比例/% | B21 | + | 0.047 | |
| 地级及以上城市集中式饮用水水源地水质达标率/% | B22 | + | 0.015 | |||
| 地表水劣Ⅴ类水体比例/% | B23 | − | 0.041 | |||
| 土壤安全B3 | 0.152 | 土壤点位达标率/% | B31 | + | 0.031 | |
| 单位面积耕地化肥施用量/(t∙hm−2) | B32 | − | 0.057 | |||
| 单位面积耕地农药施用量/(t∙hm−2) | B33 | − | 0.029 | |||
| 单位面积耕地薄膜使用量/(t∙hm−2) | B34 | − | 0.035 | |||
| 生态良好B4 | 0.458 | 森林覆盖率/% | B41 | + | 0.088 | |
| 湿地保护率/% | B42 | + | 0.046 | |||
| 水土保持率/% | B43 | + | 0.032 | |||
| 自然保护地面积占陆域国土面积比例/% | B44 | + | 0.247 | |||
| 重点生物物种种数保护率/% | B45 | + | 0.045 | |||
| 人居整洁B5 | 0.178 | 城镇生活污水集中处理率/% | B51 | + | 0.032 | |
| 城镇生活垃圾无害化处理率/% | B52 | + | 0.022 | |||
| 农村生活污水处理和综合利用率/% | B53 | + | 0.037 | |||
| 农村生活垃圾无害化处理率/% | B54 | + | 0.033 | |||
| 人均公园绿地面积/m2 | B55 | + | 0.037 | |||
| 农村卫生厕所普及率/% | B56 | + | 0.017 |
Table 1 Coordinated development index and weight of new urbanization and the construction of “Beautiful China” system in Jiangsu Province
| 系统层 | 准则层 | 权重 | 指标层 | 指标序号 | 指标属性 | 权重 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 新型城镇化综合水平A | 经济城镇化A1 | 0.258 | 人均GDP/元 | A11 | + | 0.051 |
| 二三产业产值占GDP比重/% | A12 | + | 0.054 | |||
| 人均公共预算支出/元 | A13 | + | 0.052 | |||
| 人均社会消费品零售总额/元 | A14 | + | 0.046 | |||
| 居民可支配收入/元 | A15 | + | 0.055 | |||
| 人口城镇化A2 | 0.145 | 城镇化率/% | A21 | + | 0.050 | |
| 城镇人口密度/(人·km-2) | A22 | − | 0.046 | |||
| 二三产业就业人口比重/% | A23 | + | 0.049 | |||
| 社会城镇化A3 | 0.338 | 每万人卫生技术人员数/人 | A31 | + | 0.049 | |
| 每万人中学生人数/人 | A32 | + | 0.073 | |||
| 移动电话普及率/(部∙百人-1) | A33 | + | 0.080 | |||
| 每万人公路客运量/人 | A34 | + | 0.040 | |||
| 每万人拥有汽车数/辆 | A35 | + | 0.030 | |||
| 人均社会保障与就业支出/亿元 | A36 | + | 0.066 | |||
| 空间城镇化A4 | 0.259 | 建成区面积占比/% | A41 | + | 0.054 | |
| 人均城市道路面积/(m2·人-1) | A42 | + | 0.030 | |||
| 地均GDP/(万元·km-2) | A43 | + | 0.055 | |||
| 建成区经济密度/(亿元·km-2) | A44 | + | 0.053 | |||
| 每万人公路里程/(km∙万人-1) | A45 | + | 0.067 | |||
| 美丽中国建设综合水平B | 空气清新B1 | 0.109 | 地级及以上城市细颗粒物(PM2.5)质量浓度/(μg∙m−3) | B11 | − | 0.040 |
| 地级及以上城市可吸入颗粒物(PM10)质量浓度/(μg∙m−3) | B12 | − | 0.036 | |||
| 地级及以上城市空气质量优良天数比例/% | B13 | + | 0.033 | |||
| 水体洁净B2 | 0.103 | 地表水水质优良(达到或好于III类)比例/% | B21 | + | 0.047 | |
| 地级及以上城市集中式饮用水水源地水质达标率/% | B22 | + | 0.015 | |||
| 地表水劣Ⅴ类水体比例/% | B23 | − | 0.041 | |||
| 土壤安全B3 | 0.152 | 土壤点位达标率/% | B31 | + | 0.031 | |
| 单位面积耕地化肥施用量/(t∙hm−2) | B32 | − | 0.057 | |||
| 单位面积耕地农药施用量/(t∙hm−2) | B33 | − | 0.029 | |||
| 单位面积耕地薄膜使用量/(t∙hm−2) | B34 | − | 0.035 | |||
| 生态良好B4 | 0.458 | 森林覆盖率/% | B41 | + | 0.088 | |
| 湿地保护率/% | B42 | + | 0.046 | |||
| 水土保持率/% | B43 | + | 0.032 | |||
| 自然保护地面积占陆域国土面积比例/% | B44 | + | 0.247 | |||
| 重点生物物种种数保护率/% | B45 | + | 0.045 | |||
| 人居整洁B5 | 0.178 | 城镇生活污水集中处理率/% | B51 | + | 0.032 | |
| 城镇生活垃圾无害化处理率/% | B52 | + | 0.022 | |||
| 农村生活污水处理和综合利用率/% | B53 | + | 0.037 | |||
| 农村生活垃圾无害化处理率/% | B54 | + | 0.033 | |||
| 人均公园绿地面积/m2 | B55 | + | 0.037 | |||
| 农村卫生厕所普及率/% | B56 | + | 0.017 |
| 类别 | D | D类型 | F(X)与F(Y)关系 | 综合评价类型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 协调发展类 | 0.90-1.00 | 优质协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 优质协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 优质协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 优质协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 0.80-0.90 | 良好协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 良好协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 | |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 良好协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 良好协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 0.70-0.80 | 中等协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 中等协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 | |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 中等协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 中等协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 0.60-0.70 | 初级协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 初级协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 | |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 初级协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 初级协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 亚协调发展类 | 0.50-0.60 | 勉强协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 勉强协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 勉强协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 勉强协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 0.40-0.50 | 濒临失调衰退类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 濒临失调衰退类美丽中国建设滞后型 | |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 濒临失调衰退类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 濒临失调衰退类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 失调类 | 0.00-0.40 | 失调衰退类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 失调衰退类美丽中国建设滞后型 |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 失调衰退类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 失调衰退类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 |
Table 2 Classification system and evaluation criteria for coordinated development of new urbanization and the construction of ‘Beautiful China’ system
| 类别 | D | D类型 | F(X)与F(Y)关系 | 综合评价类型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 协调发展类 | 0.90-1.00 | 优质协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 优质协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 优质协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 优质协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 0.80-0.90 | 良好协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 良好协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 | |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 良好协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 良好协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 0.70-0.80 | 中等协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 中等协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 | |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 中等协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 中等协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 0.60-0.70 | 初级协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 初级协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 | |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 初级协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 初级协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 亚协调发展类 | 0.50-0.60 | 勉强协调发展类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 勉强协调发展类美丽中国建设滞后型 |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 勉强协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 勉强协调发展类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 0.40-0.50 | 濒临失调衰退类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 濒临失调衰退类美丽中国建设滞后型 | |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 濒临失调衰退类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 濒临失调衰退类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 | |||
| 失调类 | 0.00-0.40 | 失调衰退类 | F(X)>F(Y) | 失调衰退类美丽中国建设滞后型 |
| F(X)<F(Y) | 失调衰退类新型城镇化滞后型 | |||
| F(X)=F(Y) | 失调衰退类新型城镇化与美丽中国建设同步型 |
| 年份 | F(X) | F(Y) | C | 协调性 | T | D | 协调发展状况 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 0.101 | 0.421 | 0.391 | 失调类 | 0.261 | 0.319 | 失调衰退类新型城镇化滞后型 |
| 2014 | 0.190 | 0.488 | 0.651 | 勉强协调 | 0.339 | 0.470 | 濒临失调衰退类新型城镇化滞后型 |
| 2015 | 0.285 | 0.321 | 0.993 | 优质协调 | 0.303 | 0.548 | 勉强协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 |
| 2016 | 0.313 | 0.420 | 0.958 | 优质协调 | 0.366 | 0.592 | 勉强协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 |
| 2017 | 0.421 | 0.493 | 0.988 | 优质协调 | 0.457 | 0.672 | 初级协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2018 | 0.524 | 0.466 | 0.993 | 优质协调 | 0.495 | 0.701 | 中等协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2019 | 0.634 | 0.448 | 0.942 | 优质协调 | 0.541 | 0.714 | 中等协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2020 | 0.681 | 0.526 | 0.967 | 优质协调 | 0.604 | 0.764 | 中等协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2021 | 0.750 | 0.526 | 0.939 | 优质协调 | 0.638 | 0.774 | 中等协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2022 | 0.827 | 0.570 | 0.933 | 优质协调 | 0.698 | 0.807 | 良好协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2023 | 0.900 | 0.595 | 0.919 | 优质协调 | 0.747 | 0.829 | 良好协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
Table 3 Coordinated development of new urbanization and the construction of ‘Beautiful China’ in Jiangsu Province from 2013 to 2023
| 年份 | F(X) | F(Y) | C | 协调性 | T | D | 协调发展状况 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 0.101 | 0.421 | 0.391 | 失调类 | 0.261 | 0.319 | 失调衰退类新型城镇化滞后型 |
| 2014 | 0.190 | 0.488 | 0.651 | 勉强协调 | 0.339 | 0.470 | 濒临失调衰退类新型城镇化滞后型 |
| 2015 | 0.285 | 0.321 | 0.993 | 优质协调 | 0.303 | 0.548 | 勉强协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 |
| 2016 | 0.313 | 0.420 | 0.958 | 优质协调 | 0.366 | 0.592 | 勉强协调发展类新型城镇化滞后型 |
| 2017 | 0.421 | 0.493 | 0.988 | 优质协调 | 0.457 | 0.672 | 初级协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2018 | 0.524 | 0.466 | 0.993 | 优质协调 | 0.495 | 0.701 | 中等协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2019 | 0.634 | 0.448 | 0.942 | 优质协调 | 0.541 | 0.714 | 中等协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2020 | 0.681 | 0.526 | 0.967 | 优质协调 | 0.604 | 0.764 | 中等协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2021 | 0.750 | 0.526 | 0.939 | 优质协调 | 0.638 | 0.774 | 中等协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2022 | 0.827 | 0.570 | 0.933 | 优质协调 | 0.698 | 0.807 | 良好协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 2023 | 0.900 | 0.595 | 0.919 | 优质协调 | 0.747 | 0.829 | 良好协调发展类美丽中国滞后型 |
| 回归模型 | r2 | F | 标准误(SE) | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C=0.004B53+0.683 | 0.269 | 14.22 | 0.116 | 0.001 |
| C=0.004B53+0.013A12−0.426 | 0.340 | 10.27 | 0.110 | 0.000 |
| C=0.0009B53+0.020A12+0.009B54−1.920 | 0.474 | 11.82 | 0.098 | 0.000 |
| T=0.005B53+0.166 | 0.667 | 73.23 | 0.073 | 0.000 |
| T=0.004B53+0.004A23−0.095 | 0.714 | 45.84 | 0.067 | 0.000 |
| T=0.005B53+0.006A23+0.009A45−0.452 | 0.751 | 37.24 | 0.063 | 0.000 |
| D=0.005B53+0.360 | 0.695 | 82.84 | 0.064 | 0.000 |
| D=0.004B53+0.004A23+0.071 | 0.768 | 60.53 | 0.056 | 0.000 |
| D=0.003B53+0.005A23+0.005B54−0.404 | 0.819 | 55.44 | 0.049 | 0.000 |
Table 4 Results of multivariate regression analysis
| 回归模型 | r2 | F | 标准误(SE) | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C=0.004B53+0.683 | 0.269 | 14.22 | 0.116 | 0.001 |
| C=0.004B53+0.013A12−0.426 | 0.340 | 10.27 | 0.110 | 0.000 |
| C=0.0009B53+0.020A12+0.009B54−1.920 | 0.474 | 11.82 | 0.098 | 0.000 |
| T=0.005B53+0.166 | 0.667 | 73.23 | 0.073 | 0.000 |
| T=0.004B53+0.004A23−0.095 | 0.714 | 45.84 | 0.067 | 0.000 |
| T=0.005B53+0.006A23+0.009A45−0.452 | 0.751 | 37.24 | 0.063 | 0.000 |
| D=0.005B53+0.360 | 0.695 | 82.84 | 0.064 | 0.000 |
| D=0.004B53+0.004A23+0.071 | 0.768 | 60.53 | 0.056 | 0.000 |
| D=0.003B53+0.005A23+0.005B54−0.404 | 0.819 | 55.44 | 0.049 | 0.000 |
Figure 4 The spatial evolution pattern of the coordinated development of new urbanization and the construction of ‘Beautiful China’ in each city in Jiangsu Province in 2013
Figure 5 The spatial evolution pattern of the coordinated development of new urbanization and the construction of ‘Beautiful China’ in each city in Jiangsu Province in 2023
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