Ecology and Environment ›› 2021, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (7): 1482-1491.DOI: 10.16258/j.cnki.1674-5906.2021.07.017
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ZHOU Dan1(), ZHANG Juan2,*, LUO Jing3, GUO Guang1, LI Baohua1
Received:
2021-02-23
Online:
2021-07-18
Published:
2021-10-09
Contact:
ZHANG Juan
通讯作者:
张娟
作者简介:
周丹(1989年生),男,工程师,主要从事专业气象预报服务研究。E-mail: www.zhoudan.6666@163.com
基金资助:
CLC Number:
ZHOU Dan, ZHANG Juan, LUO Jing, GUO Guang, LI Baohua. Analysis on the Causes of Qinghai Lake Water Level Changes and Prediction of Its Future Trends[J]. Ecology and Environment, 2021, 30(7): 1482-1491.
周丹, 张娟, 罗静, 郭广, 李宝华. 青海湖水位变化成因分析及其未来趋势预估研究[J]. 生态环境学报, 2021, 30(7): 1482-1491.
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URL: https://www.jeesci.com/EN/10.16258/j.cnki.1674-5906.2021.07.017
时段 Time period | 年降水量距平百分率 Percentage of annual precipitation anomaly/% | 年蒸发量距平百分率 Percentage of annual evaporation anomaly/% |
---|---|---|
2021-2030 | 0.9 | 5.9 |
2031-2040 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
2041-2050 | 10.6 | 7.4 |
2021-2050 | 5.9 | 6.5 |
Table 1 Anomaly percentages of annual precipitation and annual evaporation in different time periods in the future
时段 Time period | 年降水量距平百分率 Percentage of annual precipitation anomaly/% | 年蒸发量距平百分率 Percentage of annual evaporation anomaly/% |
---|---|---|
2021-2030 | 0.9 | 5.9 |
2031-2040 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
2041-2050 | 10.6 | 7.4 |
2021-2050 | 5.9 | 6.5 |
年份 Years | 变化水位 Changing water level/m | 年份 Years | 变化水位 Changing water level/m | 年份 Years | 变化水位 Changing water level/m |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.18 | 2031 | 0.07 | 2041 | 0.25 |
2022 | 0.17 | 2032 | 0.19 | 2042 | 0.27 |
2023 | 0.10 | 2033 | 0.16 | 2043 | 0.14 |
2024 | 0.16 | 2034 | 0.16 | 2044 | 0.30 |
2025 | 0.18 | 2035 | 0.21 | 2045 | 0.08 |
2026 | 0.17 | 2036 | 0.34 | 2046 | 0.13 |
2027 | 0.12 | 2037 | 0.14 | 2047 | 0.13 |
2028 | 0.23 | 2038 | 0.18 | 2048 | 0.33 |
2029 | 0.16 | 2039 | 0.21 | 2049 | 0.23 |
2030 | 0.16 | 2040 | 0.20 | 2050 | 0.16 |
合计 Total | 1.63 | 1.86 | 2.02 |
Table 2 Annual water level forecast changes of Qinghai Lake from 2021 to 2050
年份 Years | 变化水位 Changing water level/m | 年份 Years | 变化水位 Changing water level/m | 年份 Years | 变化水位 Changing water level/m |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.18 | 2031 | 0.07 | 2041 | 0.25 |
2022 | 0.17 | 2032 | 0.19 | 2042 | 0.27 |
2023 | 0.10 | 2033 | 0.16 | 2043 | 0.14 |
2024 | 0.16 | 2034 | 0.16 | 2044 | 0.30 |
2025 | 0.18 | 2035 | 0.21 | 2045 | 0.08 |
2026 | 0.17 | 2036 | 0.34 | 2046 | 0.13 |
2027 | 0.12 | 2037 | 0.14 | 2047 | 0.13 |
2028 | 0.23 | 2038 | 0.18 | 2048 | 0.33 |
2029 | 0.16 | 2039 | 0.21 | 2049 | 0.23 |
2030 | 0.16 | 2040 | 0.20 | 2050 | 0.16 |
合计 Total | 1.63 | 1.86 | 2.02 |
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